As a Petrov, it was quite engaging and at times, very stressful. I feel very lucky and grateful that I could take part. I was also located in a different timezone and operating on only a few hours sleep which added a lot to the experience!
“I later found out that, during this window, one of the Petrovs messaged one of the mods saying to report nukes if the number reported was over a certain threshold. From looking through the array of numbers that the code would randomly select from, this policy had a ~40% chance of causing a “Nukes Incoming” report (!). Unaware of this, Ray and I made the decision not to count that period.”
I don’t mind outing myself and saying that I was the Petrov who made the conditional report while the site was down. This occurred during the opening hours of the game and it was unclear to me if generals could unilaterally launch nukes without their team being aware. I’m happy to take a weighted karma penalty for it, particularly as the other Petrov did not take a similar action when faced with (presumably) the same information I had.[1]
Once it was established that unilateral first strike by a general still informed their teammates of their action and people staked their reputation on honest reporting, the game was essentially over. From that point, my decisions to report “All Clear” were independent of the number of detected missiles.
I recorded my timestamped thoughts and decision making process throughout the day, particularly in the hour before making the conditional report. I intend on posting a summary[2] of it, but have other commitments in the next few days:
How much would people value seeing a summary of my hour by hour decisions in the next few days over seeing a more digestible summary posted later?
Missile counts, and a few other details, would of course be hidden to preserve the experience for future Petrovs. Please feel free to specify other things you believe should be hidden.
As a Petrov, it was quite engaging and at times, very stressful. I feel very lucky and grateful that I could take part. I was also located in a different timezone and operating on only a few hours sleep which added a lot to the experience!
“I later found out that, during this window, one of the Petrovs messaged one of the mods saying to report nukes if the number reported was over a certain threshold. From looking through the array of numbers that the code would randomly select from, this policy had a ~40% chance of causing a “Nukes Incoming” report (!). Unaware of this, Ray and I made the decision not to count that period.”
I don’t mind outing myself and saying that I was the Petrov who made the conditional report while the site was down. This occurred during the opening hours of the game and it was unclear to me if generals could unilaterally launch nukes without their team being aware. I’m happy to take a weighted karma penalty for it, particularly as the other Petrov did not take a similar action when faced with (presumably) the same information I had.[1]
Once it was established that unilateral first strike by a general still informed their teammates of their action and people staked their reputation on honest reporting, the game was essentially over. From that point, my decisions to report “All Clear” were independent of the number of detected missiles.
I recorded my timestamped thoughts and decision making process throughout the day, particularly in the hour before making the conditional report. I intend on posting a summary[2] of it, but have other commitments in the next few days:
How much would people value seeing a summary of my hour by hour decisions in the next few days over seeing a more digestible summary posted later?
Prior to the game I outlined what I thought my hypothetical decision making process was going to be, and this decision was also in conflict with that.
Missile counts, and a few other details, would of course be hidden to preserve the experience for future Petrovs. Please feel free to specify other things you believe should be hidden.