It seems implausible that all fights would have resolved in the heroes’ favor so far. Are there failures that were not recorded, or do we really have that strong of plot armor? It seems like the strategy of “do whatever we’ve been doing” has a very high prior for success, but on the other hand, we haven’t seen multiple attacks in the same day before yet here we are.
Mostly it’s just the conjunction of so many events. Even if each battle has a 99% chance of success (which seems high), the chance to win 291 battles in a row is 5.4%.
The record is a complete list of all fights. Usually heteropneums can be detected, predicted and managed such that the Sphere never needs to have more than one fight per floorday, and they can send a pilot they feel confident will win; Earwax’s actions are unprecendented.
It seems implausible that all fights would have resolved in the heroes’ favor so far. Are there failures that were not recorded, or do we really have that strong of plot armor? It seems like the strategy of “do whatever we’ve been doing” has a very high prior for success, but on the other hand, we haven’t seen multiple attacks in the same day before yet here we are.
Why does it seem implausible? Does this set of ‘heroes’ not seem like a strong set of pilots for which that is reasonable, or is it something else?
Mostly it’s just the conjunction of so many events. Even if each battle has a 99% chance of success (which seems high), the chance to win 291 battles in a row is 5.4%.
The record is a complete list of all fights. Usually heteropneums can be detected, predicted and managed such that the Sphere never needs to have more than one fight per floorday, and they can send a pilot they feel confident will win; Earwax’s actions are unprecendented.