The way anthropics twists things is that if this were russian roulette I might not be able to update after 20 Es that the gun is empty, since in all the world’s where I died there’s noone to observe what happened, so of course I find myself in the one world where by pure chance I survived.
This is incorrect due to the anthropic undeath argument. The vast majority of surviving worlds will be ones where the gun is empty, unless it is impossible to be so. This is exactly the same as a Bayesian update.
This is incorrect due to the anthropic undeath argument. The vast majority of surviving worlds will be ones where the gun is empty, unless it is impossible to be so. This is exactly the same as a Bayesian update.