This subsection is another example of “two wrongs make a right” reasoning. You pointing out at some problems of EDT not related to antropic updating and then conclude that then the fact that EDT with anthropic updating has similar problems is okay. This doesn’t make sense. If a theory has a flaw we need to fix the flaw, not treat it as a license to add more flaws to the theory.
I gave independent epistemic arguments for anthropic updating at the end of the post, which you haven’t addressed
I’m sorry but I don’t see any substance in your argument to address. This step renders all the chain of reasoning meaningless:
What is P(w1,i|w1;I(Ω)), i.e., assuming I exist in the given world, how likely am I to be in a given index? Min-RC-SSA would say, “‘I’ am just guaranteed to be in whichever index corresponds to the person ‘I’ am.” This view has some merit (see, e.g., here and Builes (2020)). But it’s not obvious we should endorse it — I think a plausible alternative is that “I” am defined by some first-person perspective.[19] And this perspective, absent any other information, is just as likely to be each of the indices of observers in the world. On this alternative view,P(w1,i|w1;I(Ω))=1/n(Ow1).
You are saying that there is a view 1. that has some merits, but it’s not obvious that it is true so… you just assume the view 2., instead. Why? Why would you do it? What’s the argument that you should assume that? You don’t give any. Just make an ungrounded assumption and go with your reasoning further.
The same as always. Correct betting odds systematically lead to winning.
The motivation is that you don’t need to invent extraordinary ways to wiggle out from being dutch booked, of course.
Do you systematically use this kind of reasoning in regards to betting odds? If so, what is your reasons to endourse EDT in the first place?
This subsection is another example of “two wrongs make a right” reasoning. You pointing out at some problems of EDT not related to antropic updating and then conclude that then the fact that EDT with anthropic updating has similar problems is okay. This doesn’t make sense. If a theory has a flaw we need to fix the flaw, not treat it as a license to add more flaws to the theory.
I’m sorry but I don’t see any substance in your argument to address. This step renders all the chain of reasoning meaningless:
You are saying that there is a view 1. that has some merits, but it’s not obvious that it is true so… you just assume the view 2., instead. Why? Why would you do it? What’s the argument that you should assume that? You don’t give any. Just make an ungrounded assumption and go with your reasoning further.