If your argument is that a race of genetically engineered super-humans are less likely to cause human extinction than GPT-5, the Neanderthals would like to have a word with you.
Manifold currently estimates that there is a 4% chance GPT-5 will destroy the world. What percent chance do you estimate there is that a genetically engineered race of super-humans will cause human-extinction?
If your argument is that a race of genetically engineered super-humans are less likely to cause human extinction than GPT-5, the Neanderthals would like to have a word with you.
But notably, we have not killed all biological life and we are substantially Neanderthal. Versus death by AI, its a far better prospect.
Manifold currently estimates that there is a 4% chance GPT-5 will destroy the world. What percent chance do you estimate there is that a genetically engineered race of super-humans will cause human-extinction?