see https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/AJ9dX59QXokZb35fk/when-not-to-use-probabilities
Thank you, I forgot about that one. I guess the summary would be “if your calibration for this class of possibilities sucks, don’t make up numbers, lest you start trusting them”. If so, that makes sense.
see https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/AJ9dX59QXokZb35fk/when-not-to-use-probabilities
Thank you, I forgot about that one. I guess the summary would be “if your calibration for this class of possibilities sucks, don’t make up numbers, lest you start trusting them”. If so, that makes sense.