“Bayesian evidence” has sometimes been inflated from “evidence as mathematically measured by Bayesian probability theory” to simply mean “evidence, but it sounds so much more sciencey and rational to call it ‘Bayesian’”, or further to mean “not just useful evidence, but useless evidence as well”.
Just use the googlebox here for the phrase “is Bayesian evidence for” to see what I’m talking about. Or Google itself—there are only 7 hits, three of them to LW.
Just use the googlebox here for the phrase “is Bayesian evidence for” to see what I’m talking about. Or Google itself—there are only 7 hits, three of them to LW.
That phrase makes sense when describing evidence that is not considered evidence according to other standards—such as science or traditional rationalism. For example “Absence of evidence is (Bayesian) evidence of absence”.
I think people use “Bayesian evidence” to emphasize the “more likely to occur under one hypothesis than under the other” sense of evidence over other things that people might be tempted to take “evidence” to mean.
“Bayesian evidence” has sometimes been inflated from “evidence as mathematically measured by Bayesian probability theory” to simply mean “evidence, but it sounds so much more sciencey and rational to call it ‘Bayesian’”, or further to mean “not just useful evidence, but useless evidence as well”.
Just use the googlebox here for the phrase “is Bayesian evidence for” to see what I’m talking about. Or Google itself—there are only 7 hits, three of them to LW.
(Agree, expanding.)
That phrase makes sense when describing evidence that is not considered evidence according to other standards—such as science or traditional rationalism. For example “Absence of evidence is (Bayesian) evidence of absence”.
Yes. Alternately, “Bayesian evidence” suggests to me “evidence — but don’t think I mean evidence that completely rules out other possibilities.”
I think people use “Bayesian evidence” to emphasize the “more likely to occur under one hypothesis than under the other” sense of evidence over other things that people might be tempted to take “evidence” to mean.