Counting the number of papers isn’t going to be a good strategy.
I do think total research outside of labs looks competitive with research from labs and probably research done outside of labs has produced more differential safety progress in total.
I also think open weight models are probably good so far in terms of making AI more likely to go well (putting aside norms and precedents of releases), though I don’t think this is necessarily implied from “more research happens outside of labs”.
Counting the number of papers isn’t going to be a good strategy.
I do think total research outside of labs looks competitive with research from labs and probably research done outside of labs has produced more differential safety progress in total.
I also think open weight models are probably good so far in terms of making AI more likely to go well (putting aside norms and precedents of releases), though I don’t think this is necessarily implied from “more research happens outside of labs”.