It is the explanation that makes the most sense to me, but that doesn’t mean it is the correct one.
Ok, in this case, your explanation is nothing more than a “just so” story. I could make up my own story and it would be just as valid (which is to say, still pretty arbitrary). And yet, you stated your own explanation as though it were fact. That’s confusing, at best.
Everything I write is of course my own opinion, the same goes for whatever you read on any history book and even physics. Newton stated his laws of physics as facts yet in hindsight we know that they were only approximations. I’m not going to precede every posting of mine with the disclaimer “The following is only my opinion.” Btw, the explanation I gave you wasn’t my own, I read it somewhere on the internet and I think it was the result of some scholarly study.
Everything I write is of course my own opinion, the same goes for whatever you read on any history book and even physics.
Warning: Fallacy of gray detected.
The difference is in ability to infer facts about the world from assertions about facts about the world. Assertions differ greatly in their convincing power. An argument is made strong by either being explanatory, drawing your attention to a way of making your own conclusions, or by having its own truth and relevance as a powerful explanation for having been made, while for a weak argument other reasons are not ruled out.
Of course you shouldn’t claim “the following is only my opinion” for all your posts, or for an explanation you read on the Internet that you think was the result of some scholarly study. If you did you would need to precede it with a meta-disclaimer: “the following disclaimer is a routine disclaimer I put on my post without regard to whether it is accurate”.
I have seen some people who put routine disclaimers on their posts without regard to whether it was needed, and it was annoying (definitely to me, but also, I believe without proof, to a lot of others).
Something like “I read this explanation somewhere, which makes much more sense than the usual one” seems appropriate.
As the saying goes, you are entitled to your own opinions, but not your own facts; and you stated your cheek-slapping hypothesis as though it was a fact. The difference is important; it’s the difference between saying, “It would be neat if pigs could fly”, and saying, “pigs can fly”.
Some posts are more factually based than others. Some facts are uncontroversial and others are not. Vladimir Nesov noted the fallacy of gray in your other comment about how all one says is opinion. This seems to be a similar situation.
That’s fine, but in this case, you should avoid saying things like “pigs can fly” when you mean something like “flying pigs would be neat”. The second statement is entirely non-controversial, whereas the first statement is practically a challenge. If we were discussing animal husbandry, and I told you, “actually, since pigs fly, you should always cover your pig-pens with a wire mesh, because otherwise the flying pigs will all fly away”, your response would probably consist of, “WTF, flying pigs ? prove it”. And you’d be right to demand proof.
To be more specific, instead of saying,
“Turn the other cheek” can only be understood if you know the cultural context of the time which goes as follows...
You could have said something like
“I don’t really know what the cultural context of the time really was, but I like to imagine it went as follows...”
This way, it’s reasonably clear that we’re talking about fantasy, not fact, and there won’t be any confusion.
We don’t know whether it’s a fantasy/just so story or not. That depends on whether the originator of the explanation made it up, or based it on plenty of evidence, or something in between. I’m glad someone questioned it though, so I know not to assume it’s as certain as if someone on lesswrong stated something they have direct knowledge of.
Ok, in this case, your explanation is nothing more than a “just so” story. I could make up my own story and it would be just as valid (which is to say, still pretty arbitrary). And yet, you stated your own explanation as though it were fact. That’s confusing, at best.
Everything I write is of course my own opinion, the same goes for whatever you read on any history book and even physics. Newton stated his laws of physics as facts yet in hindsight we know that they were only approximations. I’m not going to precede every posting of mine with the disclaimer “The following is only my opinion.” Btw, the explanation I gave you wasn’t my own, I read it somewhere on the internet and I think it was the result of some scholarly study.
Warning: Fallacy of gray detected.
The difference is in ability to infer facts about the world from assertions about facts about the world. Assertions differ greatly in their convincing power. An argument is made strong by either being explanatory, drawing your attention to a way of making your own conclusions, or by having its own truth and relevance as a powerful explanation for having been made, while for a weak argument other reasons are not ruled out.
Of course you shouldn’t claim “the following is only my opinion” for all your posts, or for an explanation you read on the Internet that you think was the result of some scholarly study. If you did you would need to precede it with a meta-disclaimer: “the following disclaimer is a routine disclaimer I put on my post without regard to whether it is accurate”.
I have seen some people who put routine disclaimers on their posts without regard to whether it was needed, and it was annoying (definitely to me, but also, I believe without proof, to a lot of others).
Something like “I read this explanation somewhere, which makes much more sense than the usual one” seems appropriate.
As the saying goes, you are entitled to your own opinions, but not your own facts; and you stated your cheek-slapping hypothesis as though it was a fact. The difference is important; it’s the difference between saying, “It would be neat if pigs could fly”, and saying, “pigs can fly”.
I don’t want to preced every posting of mine with a disclaimer, please:
http://www.overcomingbias.com/2008/06/against-disclai.html
Some posts are more factually based than others. Some facts are uncontroversial and others are not. Vladimir Nesov noted the fallacy of gray in your other comment about how all one says is opinion. This seems to be a similar situation.
That’s fine, but in this case, you should avoid saying things like “pigs can fly” when you mean something like “flying pigs would be neat”. The second statement is entirely non-controversial, whereas the first statement is practically a challenge. If we were discussing animal husbandry, and I told you, “actually, since pigs fly, you should always cover your pig-pens with a wire mesh, because otherwise the flying pigs will all fly away”, your response would probably consist of, “WTF, flying pigs ? prove it”. And you’d be right to demand proof.
To be more specific, instead of saying,
You could have said something like
“I don’t really know what the cultural context of the time really was, but I like to imagine it went as follows...”
This way, it’s reasonably clear that we’re talking about fantasy, not fact, and there won’t be any confusion.
We don’t know whether it’s a fantasy/just so story or not. That depends on whether the originator of the explanation made it up, or based it on plenty of evidence, or something in between. I’m glad someone questioned it though, so I know not to assume it’s as certain as if someone on lesswrong stated something they have direct knowledge of.