It didn’t feel momentous, but the fact that the study and coverage thereof simply...didn’t say it was Bear Week...seems to have updated the baseline probability of my prior that “A given outlier study being used to advocate for counterintuitively high restrictions is explained by some bullshit” to like 90%. Given how much data we already had that said something else, maybe my prior was too low.
It seems like the media could have said, “although this was during Bear Week, which may have led to increased social contact...” without getting much blowback.
I guess it’s a metagame where you can’t say certain things about people IFF they’re a subgroup (gay men) that tends to be a victim of prejudice for unrelated reasons. Unlike, say, the coverage of Sturgis last year, where no one expected pogroms against motorcycle gangs. Some rule like, “If your factual statement will be used to ‘justify’ hatred, you shall not make it.”
I’m really missing the updates from UWash’s Alliance for Pandemic Preparedness on the latest studies. Having a ton of study/data points was really nice. They stopped updating in June with no explanation I could find.
I wonder how much of what happened is because people are afraid to point such things out.
It didn’t feel momentous, but the fact that the study and coverage thereof simply...didn’t say it was Bear Week...seems to have updated the baseline probability of my prior that “A given outlier study being used to advocate for counterintuitively high restrictions is explained by some bullshit” to like 90%. Given how much data we already had that said something else, maybe my prior was too low.
It seems like the media could have said, “although this was during Bear Week, which may have led to increased social contact...” without getting much blowback.
I guess it’s a metagame where you can’t say certain things about people IFF they’re a subgroup (gay men) that tends to be a victim of prejudice for unrelated reasons. Unlike, say, the coverage of Sturgis last year, where no one expected pogroms against motorcycle gangs. Some rule like, “If your factual statement will be used to ‘justify’ hatred, you shall not make it.”
I’m really missing the updates from UWash’s Alliance for Pandemic Preparedness on the latest studies. Having a ton of study/data points was really nice. They stopped updating in June with no explanation I could find.