Fair enough, and well said. I don’t think we really disagree then, I just have a lower threshold for how much evidence counts as a harbinger, and that’s just a difference in how we use the words. I also think probably we’ll need at least one more conceptual breakthrough.
What does Ilya Sutskever think? Can you link to something I could read on the subject?
I find that he has an exceptionally sharp intuition about why deep learning works, from the original AlexNet to Deep Double Descent. You can see him predicting the progress in NLP here
Fair enough, and well said. I don’t think we really disagree then, I just have a lower threshold for how much evidence counts as a harbinger, and that’s just a difference in how we use the words. I also think probably we’ll need at least one more conceptual breakthrough.
What does Ilya Sutskever think? Can you link to something I could read on the subject?
You can listen to his thoughts on AGI in this video
I find that he has an exceptionally sharp intuition about why deep learning works, from the original AlexNet to Deep Double Descent. You can see him predicting the progress in NLP here