“Don’t believe there is any chance” is very strong. If there is a viable way to bet on this I would be willing to bet at even odds that conditional on AI takeover, a few humans survive 100 years past AI takeover.
Do you think if an AI with random goals that doesn’t get acausally paid to preserve us takes over, then there’s a meaningful chance there will be some humans around in 100 years? What does it look like?
“Random goals” is a crux. Complicated goals that we can’t control well enough to prevent takeover are not necessarily uniformly random goals from whatever space you have in mind.
“Don’t believe there is any chance” is very strong. If there is a viable way to bet on this I would be willing to bet at even odds that conditional on AI takeover, a few humans survive 100 years past AI takeover.
Do you think if an AI with random goals that doesn’t get acausally paid to preserve us takes over, then there’s a meaningful chance there will be some humans around in 100 years? What does it look like?
“Random goals” is a crux. Complicated goals that we can’t control well enough to prevent takeover are not necessarily uniformly random goals from whatever space you have in mind.