I think I still don’t understand, sorry. Does “today” refer to the date the metaculus question resolves, or to today? What does today-$ mean?
Sorry for the lack of clarity! “today-$” refers to January 2025. For example, assuming prices increased by 10 % from this month until December 2028, the winner would receive 11 k$ (= 10*10^3*(1 + 0.1)).
I think I still don’t understand, sorry. Does “today” refer to the date the metaculus question resolves, or to today? What does today-$ mean?
Sorry for the lack of clarity! “today-$” refers to January 2025. For example, assuming prices increased by 10 % from this month until December 2028, the winner would receive 11 k$ (= 10*10^3*(1 + 0.1)).