Absolutely agree it is important for scientists to know about cognitive biases. Francis Bacon, the father of the empirical method, explicitly used cognitive biases (he called them “idols,” and even classified them) as a justification for why the method was needed.
I always said that Francis Bacon should be LW’s patron saint.
So it sounds like you’re only disagreeing with the OP in degree. You agree with the OP that a lot of scientists should be learning more about cognitive biases, better statistics, epistemology, etc., just as we are trying to do on LW. You’re just pointing out (I think) that the “informed laymen” of LW should have some humility because (a) in many cases (esp. for top scientists?) the scientists have indeed learned lots of rationality-relevant subject matter, perhaps more than most of us on LW, (b) domain expertise is usually more important than generic rationality, and (c) top scientists are very well educated and very smart.
edit: Although I should say LW “trying to learn better statistics” is too generous. There is a lot more “arguing on the internet” and a lot less “reading” happening.
Absolutely agree it is important for scientists to know about cognitive biases. Francis Bacon, the father of the empirical method, explicitly used cognitive biases (he called them “idols,” and even classified them) as a justification for why the method was needed.
I always said that Francis Bacon should be LW’s patron saint.
So it sounds like you’re only disagreeing with the OP in degree. You agree with the OP that a lot of scientists should be learning more about cognitive biases, better statistics, epistemology, etc., just as we are trying to do on LW. You’re just pointing out (I think) that the “informed laymen” of LW should have some humility because (a) in many cases (esp. for top scientists?) the scientists have indeed learned lots of rationality-relevant subject matter, perhaps more than most of us on LW, (b) domain expertise is usually more important than generic rationality, and (c) top scientists are very well educated and very smart.
Is that correct?
Yup!
edit: Although I should say LW “trying to learn better statistics” is too generous. There is a lot more “arguing on the internet” and a lot less “reading” happening.
I nominate Carneades, the inventor of the idea of degrees of certainty.
Harry J.E. Potter did receive Bacon’s diary as a gift from his DADA teacher, after all.