I’m pretty sure I understand that perspective, and I’d be happy to discuss any object-level arguments for two-boxing you’d like. :) If I’m wrong, I want to learn I’m wrong!
But I already knew that two-boxing was more popular than one-boxing (going back to the 2009 survey), so this survey isn’t a large update on that front. There are plenty of other Qs on the PhilPapers survey I feel super uncertain about; this just doesn’t happen to be one of them (at least, not to such a degree that the survey data alone can shift me toward two-boxing). If philosophers of religion agreed with me about MWI, mind uploading, and the B theory of time, I wouldn’t update toward theism, either; it’s just not a mysterious or unfamiliar enough topic to me, as someone who’s gone pretty deep both on the arguments for and against theism, and on the arguments for and against two-boxing.
It’s not that appeals to authority are invalid—it’s that I already understand the arguments that make these authorities endorse two-boxing, so (non-neglibly) updating based on the authorities and the arguments would be double-counting that evidence.
I’m pretty sure I understand that perspective, and I’d be happy to discuss any object-level arguments for two-boxing you’d like. :) If I’m wrong, I want to learn I’m wrong!
But I already knew that two-boxing was more popular than one-boxing (going back to the 2009 survey), so this survey isn’t a large update on that front. There are plenty of other Qs on the PhilPapers survey I feel super uncertain about; this just doesn’t happen to be one of them (at least, not to such a degree that the survey data alone can shift me toward two-boxing). If philosophers of religion agreed with me about MWI, mind uploading, and the B theory of time, I wouldn’t update toward theism, either; it’s just not a mysterious or unfamiliar enough topic to me, as someone who’s gone pretty deep both on the arguments for and against theism, and on the arguments for and against two-boxing.
Another way of putting this is that argument screens off authority.
It’s not that appeals to authority are invalid—it’s that I already understand the arguments that make these authorities endorse two-boxing, so (non-neglibly) updating based on the authorities and the arguments would be double-counting that evidence.