This interview was terrifying to me (and I think to Dwarkesh as well), Schulman continually demonstrates that he hasn’t really thought about the AGI future scenarios in that much depth and sort of handwaves away any talk of future dangers.
Right off the bat he acknowledges that they reasonably expect AGI in 1-5 years or so, and even though Dwarkesh pushes him he doesn’t present any more detailed plan for safety than “Oh we’ll need to be careful and cooperate with the other companies...I guess...”
Here is my coverage of it. Given this is a ‘day minus one’ interview of someone in a different position, and given everything else we already know about OpenAI, I thought this went about as well as it could have. I don’t want to see false confidence in that kind of spot, and the failure of OpenAI to have a plan for that scenario is not news.
This interview was terrifying to me (and I think to Dwarkesh as well), Schulman continually demonstrates that he hasn’t really thought about the AGI future scenarios in that much depth and sort of handwaves away any talk of future dangers.
Right off the bat he acknowledges that they reasonably expect AGI in 1-5 years or so, and even though Dwarkesh pushes him he doesn’t present any more detailed plan for safety than “Oh we’ll need to be careful and cooperate with the other companies...I guess...”
Here is my coverage of it. Given this is a ‘day minus one’ interview of someone in a different position, and given everything else we already know about OpenAI, I thought this went about as well as it could have. I don’t want to see false confidence in that kind of spot, and the failure of OpenAI to have a plan for that scenario is not news.