Another argument against cryonics is just that it’s relatively unlikely to work (= lead to your happy revival) since it requires several things to go right. Robin’s net present value calculation of the expected benefits of cryonic preservation isn’t all that different from the cost of cryonics. With slightly different estimates for some of the numbers, it would be easy to end up with an expected benefit that’s less than the cost.
Given his future predictions, maybe, but the future predictions of a lot of smart people (especially singularitarians) can lead to drastically different expected values which often give the proposition of signing up for cryonics a Pascalian flavor.
Another argument against cryonics is just that it’s relatively unlikely to work (= lead to your happy revival) since it requires several things to go right. Robin’s net present value calculation of the expected benefits of cryonic preservation isn’t all that different from the cost of cryonics. With slightly different estimates for some of the numbers, it would be easy to end up with an expected benefit that’s less than the cost.
Given his future predictions, maybe, but the future predictions of a lot of smart people (especially singularitarians) can lead to drastically different expected values which often give the proposition of signing up for cryonics a Pascalian flavor.