(Anybody is welcome to copy/paste/edit that post and run it again, probably in Main because the less casual nature of Main discourages accidental failure to read the rules. Also, I noticed that a lot of the rules weren’t really necessary because people did reliably play in the spirit of the game; most of the rules are along the lines of ‘don’t cheat’. So if you re-run it you might want to remove a lot of the text. FWIW I’d upvote it and probably make a lot of comments.)
I would change the rules to go something like this: Write a one sentence summary of your conclusion first, in as shocking terms as possible. Get people to vote up or down based on whether they agree with the initial one sentence summary. Then you justify the one sentence summary in subsequent paragraphs, which might cause folks to change their mind. That way we could get novel but possibly true beliefs in addition to irrational beliefs at the top.
Or rethink the game entirely along these lines so it is the “More Plausible Than I Initially Thought Game”, so we don’t get things like UFOs at the top. Participants upvote those comments that cause the maximum change to their beliefs, especially by making something surprising seem at least vaguely plausible. I dislike the current game rules somewhat because it seems like a signaling fest.
Or rethink the game entirely along these lines so it is the “More Plausible Than I Initially Thought Game”, so we don’t get things like UFOs at the top.
FWIW I’m really glad that UFOs were at the top. The resultant discussion and links to articles about Fatima contributed to me doing a lot of serious thinking and ultimately changing my mind, and now I believe in “hyperdimensional”/demonic/high-weirdness explanations for UFOs.
Your variation on the game still sounds better, though, ’cuz it focuses on marginals which are clearly more important here.
(Anybody is welcome to copy/paste/edit that post and run it again, probably in Main because the less casual nature of Main discourages accidental failure to read the rules. Also, I noticed that a lot of the rules weren’t really necessary because people did reliably play in the spirit of the game; most of the rules are along the lines of ‘don’t cheat’. So if you re-run it you might want to remove a lot of the text. FWIW I’d upvote it and probably make a lot of comments.)
I would change the rules to go something like this: Write a one sentence summary of your conclusion first, in as shocking terms as possible. Get people to vote up or down based on whether they agree with the initial one sentence summary. Then you justify the one sentence summary in subsequent paragraphs, which might cause folks to change their mind. That way we could get novel but possibly true beliefs in addition to irrational beliefs at the top.
Or rethink the game entirely along these lines so it is the “More Plausible Than I Initially Thought Game”, so we don’t get things like UFOs at the top. Participants upvote those comments that cause the maximum change to their beliefs, especially by making something surprising seem at least vaguely plausible. I dislike the current game rules somewhat because it seems like a signaling fest.
FWIW I’m really glad that UFOs were at the top. The resultant discussion and links to articles about Fatima contributed to me doing a lot of serious thinking and ultimately changing my mind, and now I believe in “hyperdimensional”/demonic/high-weirdness explanations for UFOs.
Your variation on the game still sounds better, though, ’cuz it focuses on marginals which are clearly more important here.