Nick_Tarleton comments on Confidence levels inside and outside an argument

[Nick_Tarleton]

Here’s a fun game: Try to disprove the hypothesis that every single time someone says “Abracadabra” there’s a 99.99% chance that the world gets destroyed.

We haven’t been anthropically forced into a world where humans can’t say “Abracadabra”.

[marchdown]

Here’s a fun game: Try to disprove the hypothesis that every single time someone says “Abracadabra” there’s a 99.99% chance that the world gets destroyed.

We haven’t been anthropically forced into a world where humans can’t say “Abracadabra”.

Oh, but a non-trivial number of people have mild superstitions against saying “Abracadabra”. Does this not constitute (weak) anthropic evidence?