TBC, they discuss negative consequences of powerful, uncontrolled, and not-particularly-aligned AI in section 6, but they don’t argue for “this will result in violent conflict” in that much detail. I think the argument they make is basically right and suffices for thinking that the type of scenario they describe is reasonably likely to end in violent conflict (though more like 70% than 95% IMO). I just don’t see this as one of the main arguments of this post and probably isn’t a key crux for them.
TBC, they discuss negative consequences of powerful, uncontrolled, and not-particularly-aligned AI in section 6, but they don’t argue for “this will result in violent conflict” in that much detail. I think the argument they make is basically right and suffices for thinking that the type of scenario they describe is reasonably likely to end in violent conflict (though more like 70% than 95% IMO). I just don’t see this as one of the main arguments of this post and probably isn’t a key crux for them.