I can’t count myself “world class” on the raw ability axis, but I’m pretty sure that probability of a team of people like me producing UFAI is very low (in absolute value), as I know when I understand something and when I yet don’t, and I think this property would be even more reliable if I had better raw ability. That is a much more relevant safety factor than ability (but seems harder to test) that changes the shape of UFAI curve. A couple of levels worse than myself, I wouldn’t trust someone’s ability to disbelieve wrong things, so the maximum should probably be in this range, not centered on “world class” in particular.
I can’t count myself “world class” on the raw ability axis, but I’m pretty sure that probability of a team of people like me producing UFAI is very low (in absolute value), as I know when I understand something and when I yet don’t, and I think this property would be even more reliable if I had better raw ability. That is a much more relevant safety factor than ability (but seems harder to test) that changes the shape of UFAI curve. A couple of levels worse than myself, I wouldn’t trust someone’s ability to disbelieve wrong things, so the maximum should probably be in this range, not centered on “world class” in particular.