I don’t expect this to continue for very long. 3 months (or less) seems plausible. I really should have mentioned this in the post. I’ve now edited it in.
then the strategic outcomes seem pretty similar
I don’t think so. In particular once the costs drop you might be able to run substantially superhuman systems at the same cost that you could previously run systems that can “merely” automate away top human experts.
I don’t expect this to continue for very long. 3 months (or less) seems plausible. I really should have mentioned this in the post. I’ve now edited it in.
I don’t think so. In particular once the costs drop you might be able to run substantially superhuman systems at the same cost that you could previously run systems that can “merely” automate away top human experts.