In other words, we’re asking some people to put their lives on the line for the common good.
As a note, this doesn’t yet follow from your (1) and (2). It would follow from a stronger version of (2), in which these people are more likely to die if they get this vaccination than if they don’t. (Roughly, more likely to die from this vaccination than from Covid—but the vaccine risk is conditional on getting vaccinated, and the Covid risk is conditional on not getting vaccinated, not conditional on getting Covid.)
Fair enough. I believe that it’s been noted that in some places (Australia) the stronger version of (2) really does hold. I’m not sure if (1) still holds, but it’s conceivable that it could. Either way, you’re comparing two very small numbers and my meta-point is that it’s still something that bears analyzing. Thanks for keeping me on my toes.
As a note, this doesn’t yet follow from your (1) and (2). It would follow from a stronger version of (2), in which these people are more likely to die if they get this vaccination than if they don’t. (Roughly, more likely to die from this vaccination than from Covid—but the vaccine risk is conditional on getting vaccinated, and the Covid risk is conditional on not getting vaccinated, not conditional on getting Covid.)
Fair enough. I believe that it’s been noted that in some places (Australia) the stronger version of (2) really does hold. I’m not sure if (1) still holds, but it’s conceivable that it could. Either way, you’re comparing two very small numbers and my meta-point is that it’s still something that bears analyzing. Thanks for keeping me on my toes.
I could also add #3 - non-pharmaceutical interventions are still perfectly legit.