That seems mostly about the emotional content of a particular plan, while I see Murphyjitsu as a tool for avoiding the planning fallacy, forcing yourself to fully think through the implications of a plan, or getting more realistic predictions from System 1. I haven’t viewed it much as an emotional tool, but maybe other people do find it useful for that.
Emotionally, do I have problems with the plan(heart)
Intuitively, do I have problems with the plan (gut)
Only when a plan passes all three checks does it move forward, and I use these tools with all three
If you’re just doing logically, I’d include the heart and gut as well, that’s where murphyjitsu shines, as often your gut and heart pick up problems with your plan your mind does not.
To expand on this, because I realize it wasn’t clear.
When processing for instance, fear of failure, what are we actually doing from a logical point of view?
We’re checking if the juice is worth the squeeze, if the problems are worth the effort. We’re seeing if it’s worth it to continue.
We should check in 3 ways—logically, what would happen if we fail, how likely is it?
Emotionally, what are we scared of in failing, how likely is it?
Intuitively, what do we we intuit will happen if we fail? How likely is it?
Then, we go through the process - first, what would we do if we in fact do fail? This is an important part of the process, because we can’t get a full sense of how bad failure will be unless we in fact note how we’ll mitigate the failure.
Only then do we compare our failure to our success, and make an informed choice.
That seems mostly about the emotional content of a particular plan, while I see Murphyjitsu as a tool for avoiding the planning fallacy, forcing yourself to fully think through the implications of a plan, or getting more realistic predictions from System 1. I haven’t viewed it much as an emotional tool, but maybe other people do find it useful for that.
I try to lool at this with my whole body:
Rationally, do I see problems with the plan(head)
Emotionally, do I have problems with the plan(heart)
Intuitively, do I have problems with the plan (gut)
Only when a plan passes all three checks does it move forward, and I use these tools with all three
If you’re just doing logically, I’d include the heart and gut as well, that’s where murphyjitsu shines, as often your gut and heart pick up problems with your plan your mind does not.
To expand on this, because I realize it wasn’t clear.
When processing for instance, fear of failure, what are we actually doing from a logical point of view?
We’re checking if the juice is worth the squeeze, if the problems are worth the effort. We’re seeing if it’s worth it to continue.
We should check in 3 ways—logically, what would happen if we fail, how likely is it?
Emotionally, what are we scared of in failing, how likely is it?
Intuitively, what do we we intuit will happen if we fail? How likely is it?
Then, we go through the process - first, what would we do if we in fact do fail? This is an important part of the process, because we can’t get a full sense of how bad failure will be unless we in fact note how we’ll mitigate the failure.
Only then do we compare our failure to our success, and make an informed choice.