You just replaced the word probability with credence/chance without explaining what’s meant with it on a more basic level.
The people where you complain that they don’t know what probability means also won’t know what credence means.
I think then you evaded the question Lumifer asked. The original post stated I'd like to see people have a clue what a probability actually is. Then Lumifer asked what it actually is. Explaining weather forcasts is besides the main point.
Yes, I wasn’t answering the question as intended. But both kithpendragon and Lumifer were talking about the weather forecast, and it does seem at least vaguely relevant that even if you know exactly what probability is, that’s not sufficient to understand “70% chance of rain”.
You just replaced the word probability with credence/chance without explaining what’s meant with it on a more basic level. The people where you complain that they don’t know what probability means also won’t know what credence means.
I was talking about weather forecasts, not trying to explain probability.
I think then you evaded the question Lumifer asked. The original post stated
I'd like to see people have a clue what a probability actually is.Then Lumifer asked what it actually is. Explaining weather forcasts is besides the main point.Yes, I wasn’t answering the question as intended. But both kithpendragon and Lumifer were talking about the weather forecast, and it does seem at least vaguely relevant that even if you know exactly what probability is, that’s not sufficient to understand “70% chance of rain”.
Okay, I might have been to harsh.