That’s fair and my high confidence comes from actually reading a lot of the primary sources and not just media reports.
And yet your confidence is updated to 99.9% by an unverified anonymous second hand source.
I read both statements, thank you very much for reposting them here for clarity.
I do not believe the report is following the bill to the letter of the law. That being said, I do not believe this is evidence of malfeasance. It’s possible this is all the information they have, and they do not have specific evidence on researcher names, hospital admittance dates, or other such details.
Honestly, if they provided such details, that would reveal how thoroughly they’ve infiltrated Chinese intelligence. Even if it was all provided and blacked out, that would still be revealing about their intelligence capabilities.
Even now I’m suspicious in how they knew researchers were sick. I know there were some social media reports going around, but how would they be able to confirm that? Did they even confirm the social media reports, or just trusted it was true because it’s likely people are sick during flu season?
My best explanation would be they have a dragnet on Chinese social media and caught some of the researchers posting flu symptoms.
And yet your confidence is updated to 99.9% by an unverified anonymous second hand source.
This story is not the only new information that I have seen since I had my public likelihood two years ago at 99%.
I wouldn’t call a source that Matt Taibbi interviewed unverified. I have a lot of trust built up in Matt over the 15 years. The article also does not say that anything in it rests on a single source.
Even now I’m suspicious in how they knew researchers were sick. I know there were some social media reports going around, but how would they be able to confirm that?
Why do you think the NSA exists? To only read social media reports? The NSA can easily hack hospitals to get relevant data. They can hack individual researchers. There are other sources as well that they could hack. They might access location data about when the researcher stayed home and when they went to the hospital.
They were not tasked with sharing how they know what they know, but just sharing what they knew.
One letter that the NIH send to the EcoHealth alliance back in 2020 said:
Disclose and explain out-of-ordinary restrictions on laboratory facilities, as suggested, for example, by diminished cell-phone traffic in October 2019, and the evidence that there may have been roadblocks surrounding the facility from October 14-19, 2019.
That statement reveals much more about intelligence capabilities than listing a bunch of names of researchers and their symptoms would.
One important point here is that according to the WIV itself they were facing a hacking attack back then which was their excuse for taking down the database of coronavirus sequences. The most likely source for that hacking attack seems to me to be a Western intelligence service.
And yet your confidence is updated to 99.9% by an unverified anonymous second hand source.
I read both statements, thank you very much for reposting them here for clarity.
I do not believe the report is following the bill to the letter of the law. That being said, I do not believe this is evidence of malfeasance. It’s possible this is all the information they have, and they do not have specific evidence on researcher names, hospital admittance dates, or other such details.
Honestly, if they provided such details, that would reveal how thoroughly they’ve infiltrated Chinese intelligence. Even if it was all provided and blacked out, that would still be revealing about their intelligence capabilities.
Even now I’m suspicious in how they knew researchers were sick. I know there were some social media reports going around, but how would they be able to confirm that? Did they even confirm the social media reports, or just trusted it was true because it’s likely people are sick during flu season?
My best explanation would be they have a dragnet on Chinese social media and caught some of the researchers posting flu symptoms.
This story is not the only new information that I have seen since I had my public likelihood two years ago at 99%.
I wouldn’t call a source that Matt Taibbi interviewed unverified. I have a lot of trust built up in Matt over the 15 years. The article also does not say that anything in it rests on a single source.
Why do you think the NSA exists? To only read social media reports? The NSA can easily hack hospitals to get relevant data. They can hack individual researchers. There are other sources as well that they could hack. They might access location data about when the researcher stayed home and when they went to the hospital.
They were not tasked with sharing how they know what they know, but just sharing what they knew.
One letter that the NIH send to the EcoHealth alliance back in 2020 said:
That statement reveals much more about intelligence capabilities than listing a bunch of names of researchers and their symptoms would.
One important point here is that according to the WIV itself they were facing a hacking attack back then which was their excuse for taking down the database of coronavirus sequences. The most likely source for that hacking attack seems to me to be a Western intelligence service.