Correction: Kelsey gave Biden 60% probability in January 2020. I gave him 20% probability in January 2019 (before he had officially entered the race). I don’t think these contradict each other.
Oh, sorry! I’ve taken the reference to your prediction out and referred only to BetFair as the baseline.
Correction: Kelsey gave Biden 60% probability in January 2020. I gave him 20% probability in January 2019 (before he had officially entered the race). I don’t think these contradict each other.
Oh, sorry! I’ve taken the reference to your prediction out and referred only to BetFair as the baseline.