Thanks! Yeah, that’s a good point mulling over. I guess it would hinge on the marginal improvement of EV in the doomed scenario to make that assertion. I don’t necessarily see things being completely, hopelessly doomed in a 15-20-year-to-AGI world. But I am also uncertain as to which role is more useful in the short-timeline world, aside from an engineer being able to contribute earlier. In the medium-term timeline world it seems to me like the marginal researcher has higher EV.
So if I would be completely uncertain, i.e. 50⁄50, which one is better in a short timeline world, then becoming a researcher would seem like the safer choice.
Thanks! Yeah, that’s a good point mulling over. I guess it would hinge on the marginal improvement of EV in the doomed scenario to make that assertion. I don’t necessarily see things being completely, hopelessly doomed in a 15-20-year-to-AGI world. But I am also uncertain as to which role is more useful in the short-timeline world, aside from an engineer being able to contribute earlier. In the medium-term timeline world it seems to me like the marginal researcher has higher EV.
So if I would be completely uncertain, i.e. 50⁄50, which one is better in a short timeline world, then becoming a researcher would seem like the safer choice.