Hrm… you seem to have better google-fu than I. So, what is “evidential decision theory” then? or at least, can you point me to whichever link you found that actually had basic description on it? Thanks.
But then, couldn’t one just say that one has to be more precise and ask: to what extent does the common cause for both induce the correlation in the context of mental algorithms that actually execute that sort of reasoning?
ie, simply include that as part of it. Wouldn’t doing that sort of thing automatically fix these sorts of errors?
I may be misunderstanding, but if it’s what I think it is, doesn’t one have to take a position like that simply by virtue of “I am part of reality. My decisions are not some transcendent divine free will from beyond all, but are part of the web of causality. They are not just causes, but also effects. The particular fact that I’m reasoning in this way is ALSO an effect, not just a cause. I am not an intervention, but a part of reality.”
Well, seems to me at least one of the following is true: I am somewhat misunderstanding what EDT is, or my reasoning above is flawed, or some flavor of EDT is actually Right Way.
Hrm… you seem to have better google-fu than I. So, what is “evidential decision theory” then? or at least, can you point me to whichever link you found that actually had basic description on it? Thanks.
Nick Tarleton’s “Smoking Lesion” link just below is the best introduction I’ve found so far.
Oooh, okay, I see, thanks.
But then, couldn’t one just say that one has to be more precise and ask: to what extent does the common cause for both induce the correlation in the context of mental algorithms that actually execute that sort of reasoning?
ie, simply include that as part of it. Wouldn’t doing that sort of thing automatically fix these sorts of errors?
I may be misunderstanding, but if it’s what I think it is, doesn’t one have to take a position like that simply by virtue of “I am part of reality. My decisions are not some transcendent divine free will from beyond all, but are part of the web of causality. They are not just causes, but also effects. The particular fact that I’m reasoning in this way is ALSO an effect, not just a cause. I am not an intervention, but a part of reality.”
Well, seems to me at least one of the following is true: I am somewhat misunderstanding what EDT is, or my reasoning above is flawed, or some flavor of EDT is actually Right Way.