Isn’t that exactly what we are doing in our lockdown world? We are socially distancing and self-isolating, so mild cases always die out.
I don’t follow your “so …”
People who have avoided contact since Feb are incredibly more likely to be delaying (perhaps forever) their date of infection. Basically none of them have yet had a mild case.
It’s an open question whether the strain we who’ve avoided it so far eventually are exposed to is more or less severe in symptoms (obviously it will tend to be more contagious) than the one people got in earlier waves. I always expected it would be (because fast onset fatal strains are quarantined more effectively and cannot spread) slower-onset, more lingering, but less severe. I don’t have much reason to change my mind, even though you’ve brought an interesting historical claim into view.
Besides hospital workers, hardly anyone is going to hospitals unless they have covid already, and although it’s not perfect, hygiene is practiced. I agree that hospital workers are more likely to contract a severe strain; that’s why they should arguably should have been variolated by intentional light exposure already.
I don’t follow your “so …”
People who have avoided contact since Feb are incredibly more likely to be delaying (perhaps forever) their date of infection. Basically none of them have yet had a mild case.
It’s an open question whether the strain we who’ve avoided it so far eventually are exposed to is more or less severe in symptoms (obviously it will tend to be more contagious) than the one people got in earlier waves. I always expected it would be (because fast onset fatal strains are quarantined more effectively and cannot spread) slower-onset, more lingering, but less severe. I don’t have much reason to change my mind, even though you’ve brought an interesting historical claim into view.
Besides hospital workers, hardly anyone is going to hospitals unless they have covid already, and although it’s not perfect, hygiene is practiced. I agree that hospital workers are more likely to contract a severe strain; that’s why they should arguably should have been variolated by intentional light exposure already.