Note in particular that the Commission is recommending Congress to “Provide broad multiyear contracting authority to the executive branch and associated funding for leading artificial intelligence, cloud, and data center companies and others to advance the stated policy at a pace and scale consistent with the goal of U.S. AGI leadership”.
i.e. if these recommendations get implemented, pretty soon a big portion of the big 3 lab’s revenue will come from big government contracts. Look like a soft nationalization scenario to me.
Upon further reflection: that big 3 lab soft nationalization scenario I speculated about will happen only if the recommendations end up being implemented with a minimum degree of competence. That is far from guaranteed to happen. Another possible implementation (which at this point I would not be all that surprised if it ended up happening) is “the Executive picks just one lab for some dumb political reason, hands them a ton of money under a vague contract, and then fails to provide any significant oversight”.
Note in particular that the Commission is recommending Congress to “Provide broad multiyear contracting authority to the executive branch and associated funding for leading artificial intelligence, cloud, and data center companies and others to advance the stated policy at a pace and scale consistent with the goal of U.S. AGI leadership”.
i.e. if these recommendations get implemented, pretty soon a big portion of the big 3 lab’s revenue will come from big government contracts. Look like a soft nationalization scenario to me.
Upon further reflection: that big 3 lab soft nationalization scenario I speculated about will happen only if the recommendations end up being implemented with a minimum degree of competence. That is far from guaranteed to happen. Another possible implementation (which at this point I would not be all that surprised if it ended up happening) is “the Executive picks just one lab for some dumb political reason, hands them a ton of money under a vague contract, and then fails to provide any significant oversight”.