We already had some discussion (including a comment by Eliezer) here.
EDIT: Wait, that’s the same discussion linked to in the post, but in the link given there you can’t see the recent discussion because the link goes to a post one generation into the comment tree.
EDIT2: Also, who cares what Eliezer thought about the Higgs? It’s not at all his speciality, and he was only betting at even odds. A wrong prediction there hardly counts against him at all.
We already had some discussion (including a comment by Eliezer) here.
EDIT: Wait, that’s the same discussion linked to in the post, but in the link given there you can’t see the recent discussion because the link goes to a post one generation into the comment tree.
EDIT2: Also, who cares what Eliezer thought about the Higgs? It’s not at all his speciality, and he was only betting at even odds. A wrong prediction there hardly counts against him at all.