But “people who are taking a training where that game would be used” are much closer.
And note that I didn’t say I saw the solution when presented with the game rules alone—only when I had finished reading through to the conclusion, and then thought about it. Which is a much lower bar.
Do you predict this or know from first-hand experience?
It’s just a prediction, based on the first time I read about that “game” and thought about what I would do in it.
Most people are not like you. Try it out like this:
https://twitter.com/ESYudkowsky/status/1414647916728229912
But “people who are taking a training where that game would be used” are much closer.
And note that I didn’t say I saw the solution when presented with the game rules alone—only when I had finished reading through to the conclusion, and then thought about it. Which is a much lower bar.