We are looking for forecasters/”estimators” to help with estimating various COVID-19 parameters, such as number of infected cases, which will go into epidemic modelling, augmenting unreliable reported data. Ideally the end product should be the results of the modelling presented in a good web UI. If you would be interested in helping, reply privately.
Q&A: How does it compare to Metaculus? In a few important ways.
1. the estimates are not the end product, but an input to epidemic modelling software
2. in our UX, we want to clearly communicate the results of the epidemic are not pre-determined, but depend on actions humanity will take
3. we want to expose more of the uncertainties and underlying dynamic, as opposed to static forecasts
We are looking for forecasters/”estimators” to help with estimating various COVID-19 parameters, such as number of infected cases, which will go into epidemic modelling, augmenting unreliable reported data. Ideally the end product should be the results of the modelling presented in a good web UI. If you would be interested in helping, reply privately.
Q&A: How does it compare to Metaculus? In a few important ways.
1. the estimates are not the end product, but an input to epidemic modelling software
2. in our UX, we want to clearly communicate the results of the epidemic are not pre-determined, but depend on actions humanity will take
3. we want to expose more of the uncertainties and underlying dynamic, as opposed to static forecasts
Have you thought about cooperating with Metaculus?