Write or message your local county public health department to include a history of the number of new cases per day not just the current total on their covid-19 website. Growth rate is just as important as the current state.
I’ve been following the daily numbers from California, Washington state, and New York, on covid2019.app, which were extremely informative, but they stopped reporting by state as of two days ago. Anyone know of a good source for daily state level new case data?
Summary: CA, WA, and NY had all reached 100 reported daily new cases by 3⁄14. Up to 3⁄19, neither CA, nor WA had broken through 200 new cases, but on 3⁄18, NY reported 1709 new cases, and on 3⁄19 they had 1069. The state level data is not available at the moment (when the site was working better, it said state level would be available), and even the regional data is broken in the current download.
Update on the data: NY is now adding 5000 new cases per day. WA is above 200, and CA above 250. No one looks like they’re stopped the growth in new cases. A slow exponential is still exponential.
Keep in mind that the trend in the number of confirmed cases only provides hints about the trend in new infections. The number of confirmed cases is highly dependent on the amount of testing, and increases in testing capacity will tend to lead to more confirmed cases. Also, there is a substantial delay between when a person is infected and when they test positive, typically somewhere in the range of 1-2 weeks (with the length of the delay also depending on the testing regime).
Write or message your local county public health department to include a history of the number of new cases per day not just the current total on their covid-19 website. Growth rate is just as important as the current state.
I’ve been following the daily numbers from California, Washington state, and New York, on covid2019.app, which were extremely informative, but they stopped reporting by state as of two days ago. Anyone know of a good source for daily state level new case data?
Summary: CA, WA, and NY had all reached 100 reported daily new cases by 3⁄14. Up to 3⁄19, neither CA, nor WA had broken through 200 new cases, but on 3⁄18, NY reported 1709 new cases, and on 3⁄19 they had 1069. The state level data is not available at the moment (when the site was working better, it said state level would be available), and even the regional data is broken in the current download.
I use https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Template:2019–20_coronavirus_pandemic_data/United_States_medical_cases
Thanks, Peter! very helpful.
Update on the data: NY is now adding 5000 new cases per day. WA is above 200, and CA above 250. No one looks like they’re stopped the growth in new cases. A slow exponential is still exponential.
Keep in mind that the trend in the number of confirmed cases only provides hints about the trend in new infections. The number of confirmed cases is highly dependent on the amount of testing, and increases in testing capacity will tend to lead to more confirmed cases. Also, there is a substantial delay between when a person is infected and when they test positive, typically somewhere in the range of 1-2 weeks (with the length of the delay also depending on the testing regime).