My AGI timelines are currently 50% by 2027. After writing this post I realized (thanks to the comments) that robotaxis were progressing faster than I thought. I still think it’s unclear which will happen first. (Remember my definition of robotaxis = 1M rides per day without human oversight.)
you would have to have ridiculous ai timelines for it to be closer than robotaxis. Closer than 2027?
My AGI timelines are currently 50% by 2027. After writing this post I realized (thanks to the comments) that robotaxis were progressing faster than I thought. I still think it’s unclear which will happen first. (Remember my definition of robotaxis = 1M rides per day without human oversight.)