Depends if you think the previous R0 calculations were based on getting the timing right, and how you think about what’s acting on what. If this makes us update towards a much higher R0, then yes we are in more trouble rather than less trouble and it could end up here faster on net, whereas if we hold R0 as known then this slows things down.
Depends if you think the previous R0 calculations were based on getting the timing right, and how you think about what’s acting on what. If this makes us update towards a much higher R0, then yes we are in more trouble rather than less trouble and it could end up here faster on net, whereas if we hold R0 as known then this slows things down.
Yeah, if R0 is held constant and also COVID-UK is going up in absolute numbers.