I will take this bet, with the following stipulations:
I’m putting up $30 against your $70.
If Harry merely mentions the debt, you don’t win—it must be a significant part of the solution. (If necessary, “significant” can be decided by a mutually agreed-upon third party.)
If Eliezer congratulates you for thinking of a better solution than Harry’s, you don’t win.
If for some reason Mitchell doesn’t vouch for me, no one owes anyone anything.
You’re obviously a sock puppet (not a bad one, just an anonymous one.) So I just pictured Eliezer making a sock puppet account specifically to take bets on what’s going to happen in HPMoR.
My model of EY says that isn’t something he would do, but I find the concept hilarious, nonetheless. (And had many giggles while imagining scheming!Eliezer posting good plot ideas he DIDN’T use under a sock account, and then swooping in as another sock to offer bets on said idea, while laughing evilly (can’t ignore the Evil Laugh), and raking in the dough :P)
At Anna and Carl’s wedding, I advanced a MoR prediction, which Eliezer offered to confirm/deny iff I first made bets with all present, and I won something like $50 =)
I will take this bet, with the following stipulations:
I’m putting up $30 against your $70.
If Harry merely mentions the debt, you don’t win—it must be a significant part of the solution. (If necessary, “significant” can be decided by a mutually agreed-upon third party.)
If Eliezer congratulates you for thinking of a better solution than Harry’s, you don’t win.
If for some reason Mitchell doesn’t vouch for me, no one owes anyone anything.
Done.
Please PM paypal info.
The money has been received, thank you!
Awesome
You’re obviously a sock puppet (not a bad one, just an anonymous one.) So I just pictured Eliezer making a sock puppet account specifically to take bets on what’s going to happen in HPMoR.
My model of EY says that isn’t something he would do, but I find the concept hilarious, nonetheless. (And had many giggles while imagining scheming!Eliezer posting good plot ideas he DIDN’T use under a sock account, and then swooping in as another sock to offer bets on said idea, while laughing evilly (can’t ignore the Evil Laugh), and raking in the dough :P)
At Anna and Carl’s wedding, I advanced a MoR prediction, which Eliezer offered to confirm/deny iff I first made bets with all present, and I won something like $50 =)
I was present and permitted to not-bet.