There’s still a big gap between Betfair/Smarkets (22% chance Trump president) and Predictit/FTX (29-30%). I assume it’s not the kind of thing that can be just arbitraged away.
There’s still a big gap between Betfair/Smarkets (22% chance Trump president) and Predictit/FTX (29-30%). I assume it’s not the kind of thing that can be just arbitraged away.