The fosbury flop is a good analogy. Where i think it comes short is that rationality is indeed a much more complex thing than jumping. You would need more than just the invention and application of a technique by one person for a paradigm shift—It would at least also require distilling the technique well, learning how to teach it well, and changing the rationality cannon in light of it.
I think a paradigm shift would happen when a new rationality cannon will be created and adopted that outperforms the current sequences (very likely also containing new techniques) - and i think that’s doable (for a start, see the flaws in the sequence Eliezer himself described in the preface).
This isn’t low hanging fruit, as it would require a lot of effort from skilled and knowledgeable people, but i would say it’s at least visible fruit, so to speak.
The fosbury flop is a good analogy. Where i think it comes short is that rationality is indeed a much more complex thing than jumping. You would need more than just the invention and application of a technique by one person for a paradigm shift—It would at least also require distilling the technique well, learning how to teach it well, and changing the rationality cannon in light of it.
I think a paradigm shift would happen when a new rationality cannon will be created and adopted that outperforms the current sequences (very likely also containing new techniques) - and i think that’s doable (for a start, see the flaws in the sequence Eliezer himself described in the preface).
This isn’t low hanging fruit, as it would require a lot of effort from skilled and knowledgeable people, but i would say it’s at least visible fruit, so to speak.