such a thing had been considered virtually impossible according to most credible experts.
Some credible experts had given him about 1% chance of winning, but IIRC most of them gave him chances of the order of 20%, which hardly counts as “virtually impossible” IMO.
Some credible experts had given him about 1% chance of winning, but IIRC most of them gave him chances of the order of 20%, which hardly counts as “virtually impossible” IMO.
Well, timeframe & circumstances are important to note here.
In, say...2012, I think a 1% probability of Donald Trump being POTUS (elect) in Nov 2016 would have seemed far too high to most.
By Nov 1 of 2016, 20% seemed more reasonable.
The probability spikes dramatically after the candidate wins their party’s nomination.