It sounds as if you’re assuming it does actually work, which so far as I can tell is still in considerable doubt.
(I agree that “supposing it turns out that it works; what else might it be good to use this approach for?” is a reasonable question and am not suggesting you shouldn’t be asking it. But e.g. it is very far from clear that “a more competent version of me could have [stopped having to worry about getting Covid-19] in a month”.)
I’m updating fairly hard on the four radvac team members who found antibodies using custom-built ELISA assays (rather than commercial tests). I wasn’t super compelled by arguments that those might be false positives, but I do find it important that we don’t know the denominator off how many of them took that test.
It maybe moved my probability from 17% to 45% that it would work for me (so still less optimistic than Wentworth!)
Though I think even a 5% chance of it working would make the original question worth asking. As they say: huge if true :)
(Also, the more competent version of me who solved it in a month would need to be competent on many other dimensions as well, not just knowing about peptide vaccines. Thinking about it, just the peptide delivery time could be longer than a month, as could the vaccine booster schedule. I do think there are worlds where it’s actually a month, but I’ll update the question to say “a few”)
It sounds as if you’re assuming it does actually work, which so far as I can tell is still in considerable doubt.
(I agree that “supposing it turns out that it works; what else might it be good to use this approach for?” is a reasonable question and am not suggesting you shouldn’t be asking it. But e.g. it is very far from clear that “a more competent version of me could have [stopped having to worry about getting Covid-19] in a month”.)
I’m updating fairly hard on the four radvac team members who found antibodies using custom-built ELISA assays (rather than commercial tests). I wasn’t super compelled by arguments that those might be false positives, but I do find it important that we don’t know the denominator off how many of them took that test.
It maybe moved my probability from 17% to 45% that it would work for me (so still less optimistic than Wentworth!)
Though I think even a 5% chance of it working would make the original question worth asking. As they say: huge if true :)
(Also, the more competent version of me who solved it in a month would need to be competent on many other dimensions as well, not just knowing about peptide vaccines. Thinking about it, just the peptide delivery time could be longer than a month, as could the vaccine booster schedule. I do think there are worlds where it’s actually a month, but I’ll update the question to say “a few”)