It feels like we are leaning extremely hard on the reasonable priors condition. I am deeply confused by the relationship between anthropics and priors; it feels like as soon as we start considering anthropics it should race away into the past, because it’s not like we are suddenly alive now and weren’t before when we got our priors. This makes me suspect that updating on the fact that I am alive is some kind of updating on old evidence.
It feels like we are leaning extremely hard on the reasonable priors condition. I am deeply confused by the relationship between anthropics and priors; it feels like as soon as we start considering anthropics it should race away into the past, because it’s not like we are suddenly alive now and weren’t before when we got our priors. This makes me suspect that updating on the fact that I am alive is some kind of updating on old evidence.