So, I decided to head on over to OpenVAERS, do some searches and look at some reports. Here are the number of results for a few queries for deaths in 2021:
5997 results in 2021 (all vaccines) 5869 results in 2021 with Vax Name “covid19”
3607 results in 2021 for 65+ (all vaccines) 3543 results in 2021 for 65+ with Vax Name “covid19” 1673 results in 2021 for 65+ with Vax Name “moderna” 1691 results in 2021 for 65+ with Vax Name “pfizer” 165 results in 2021 for 65+ with Vax Name “janssen” (Johnson & Johnson) 1061 results in 2021 for <65 (all vaccines)
1023 results in 2021 for <65 with Vax Name “covid19” 406 results in 2021 for <65 with Vax Name “pfizer” 458 results in 2021 for <65 with Vax Name “moderna”
214 results in 2021 for <45 with Vax Name “covid19” 101 results in 2021 for <35 with Vax Name “covid19″ 37 results in 2021 for <25 with Vax Name “covid19”
Edit: for comparison, the average annual death rate in the United States in 2018 and 2019 was 719 per 100,000 or 0.719%. Since the population is about 328 million, the expected number of deaths in a normal year is about 2,358,000, and in a typical week, 45,228. Now, 51.56% of the population has received at least one vaccine shot as of June 10 (one week ago). Therefore, if it were the case that someone filed a VAERS report for every death that was not caused by the vaccine but happened within one week of vaccine administration, we would expect to see much more than 5869 death reports, perhaps 23,300 (or higher, because some people have received multiple vaccine shots and because older people are more likely to have been vaccinated). This is relevant because I read that “FDA requires healthcare providers to report any death after COVID-19 vaccination to VAERS”, which explains why we see e.g. two deaths by gunshot wound in my roundup below.
Since there are only 37 deaths nationwide for age 24 and under, I decided to summarize all of them. Because I could. At least in this category we can rule out age-related illness. I will put the actual summaries of these reports in a separate message in the hope that LessWrong’s display algorithm will be more likely to “collapse” that information.
I have divided these deaths into mutually exclusive prioritized categories. This means that if a death was in both categories B and D, I only listed it under category B which is listed first.
Suicides: 4 (though in one case the person was also ill)
Other reports with indications that the death is probably not vaccine-related: 2
Death reports more than 14 days after vaccine: 4
No information about time between vaccine and death: 1
Death within 14 days, but serious pre-existing illness: 8
Death within 14 days, seemingly no serious pre-existing illness: 2
Death within 14 days, level of pre-existing illness unclear: 16
Most of the “within 14 day” reports were also within 7 days.
An interesting indicator would be how many people are getting each vaccine. If the numbers of deaths for each vaccine is exactly proportional to the number of people receiving each vaccine, it would suggest that the vaccines are all equally safe, and if so, the most probable safety level is “very safe”. (wrinkle: if e.g. J&J is a ‘rising star’, the death report curve is likely to lag behind the vaccination rate curve.) But where do I find that data?
- 958443 - self inflicted gun shot wound - 1243487 - VAX DATE: 13 April 2021 | DATEDIED: 21 April 2021 - Patient Committed Suicide with a firearm. - 1307657 Death by suicide [4 days after taking vaccination] - 1349598 VAX DATE: 19 April 2021 | ONSET DATE: 19 April 2021 | DATEDIED: 23 April 2021 - he was COVID positive… patient did not have COVID prior to vaccination [sic].… patient...received the first dose of...PFIZER...on 29Mar2021… headache, sore arm, lethargic.… 19Apr2021, the patient received the second dose, and the patient was sick that day, headache/tired, diarrhea. On Tuesday (20Apr2021), the patient slept all day, headache, chills, diarrhea, no appetite, said he didn’t feel right.… Friday (23Apr2021) diarrhea—took his own life by hanging himself. The patient did not have history or signs of depression, anxiety, or mental illness.
Other reports with indications that the death is probably not vaccine-related
- 1166062 - DATEDIED: 20 March 2021 - patient received second dose of Pfizer vaccine on March 17, 2020 while at work… her 5 month old breastfed infant developed a rash and within 24 hours was inconsolable...developed a fever. Patient brought baby to local ER… passed away. Diagnosis of TTP. [It sounds like the baby did NOT receive a Covid vaccine] - 1347547 VAX DATE: 15 April 2021 | ONSET DATE: 16 April 2021 | DATEDIED: 21 April 2021 - The injury that led to the death occurred within 1 day of the decedent receiving the vaccine
Deaths more than 14 days after vaccine
- 1076949 - VAX DATE: 29 January 2021 - Patient admitted on 2/21/21 and died in hospital on 2/22/2021. Patient had a significant, lifelong underlying medical condition. − 1074788 - [This report appears to be for a fetus that died more than a month after the mother received the vaccine] - 1372120 - VAX DATE: 01 May 2021 | ONSET DATE: 01 June 2021 | DATEDIED: 01 June 2021 - Pt called 911 for shortness of breath...Patient with sob, saying she can not breath , states it came on suddenly about a half hour ago and pt has not been feeling ill prior to this… became pulseless and apneic… no medical history other than anemia… J and J covid 19 vaccine recently. … copious amounts of vomit, suction enroute to ed. - 1366320 - VAX DATE: 10 March 2021 | ONSET DATE: 11 March 2021 | DATEDIED: 06 May 2021 - he died [Jesus Christ, that’s all you have to say?]
No information about time between vaccine and death
- 1353097 - On an unknown date, the patient received second dose...Moderna...1 dosage form. On an unknown date, the patient experienced CARDIAC ARREST… It is unknown if an autopsy was performed… Follow up not possible as no contact details available
Death within 14 days, but major pre-existing illness
- 960841 - VAX DATE: 17 January 2021 | ONSET DATE: 19 January 2021 | DATEDIED: 21 January 2021 − 104.4 temp approximately 48 hours after being given the vaccine....treated with antibiotics, IV fluids, cooling methods...cardiac arrest on 1/21/21. HISTORY: ventilator dependent, anoxic encephalopathy, seizure disorder. OTHER_MEDS: Amantadine, clonazepam, clobazam, lovenox, dextroamphetamine-amphetamine, famotidine, gabapentin, keppra, robinul, polyethylene glycol, propanolol, sertaline, senna, valproic acid, vimpat, cefepime - 1105115 - VAX DATE: 14 February 2021 | DATEDIED: 28 February 2021 - POC observed abscesses in the arm, groin, thigh and knees after the first vaccination. After the second dose, he was hypoactive. …POC removed the sheet, she observed that her mouth and nose were full of secretions. HISTORY: Portal hypertension (secondary to portal vein thrombosis), Leukopenia, Thrombocytopenia, Epilepsy, Splenomegaly, Esophageal Varices, Asthma, Pancytopenia and Severe mental retardation. - 1105146 - VAX DATE: 30 January 2021 | ONSET DATE: 30 January 2021 | DATEDIED: 02 February 2021 − 1⁄19 began vomiting and was hospitalized. On 1⁄30 he was discharged and later received the vaccine.… [later] He started coughing up foul-smelling secretions.… HISTORY: Epilepsy, Hydrocephalus, and Multiple Sclerosis - 1199455 VAX DATE: 02 April 2021 | DATEDIED: 10 April 2021 - Patient reported difficulty breathing and chest pain… cardiac arrest… HISTORY: spina bifida, spinal meningocele, VP shunt, scoliosis, neurogenic bladder, constipation - 1273475 VAX DATE: 28 April 2021 | DATEDIED: 29 April 2021 - Resident was checked at 1830 and found to be at baseline status. At approximately 1855, resident was found pulses and apneic. CPR initiated… Resident expired 1939. CUR_ILL: Anoxic Brain Injury, History of MI, Uterine rupture, dysphagia, PEG TUBE, Tracheostomy. HISTORY: Anoxic Brain Injury - 1343614 VAX DATE: 18 May 2021 | ONSET DATE: 20 May 2021 | DATEDIED: 24 May 2021 - presented to ED dept confused, incr n/v, weakness. Received palliative care… deceased. CUR_ILL: fibrolamellar hepatic carcinoma with metastatic disease OTHER_MEDS: xarelto, methadone, morphine, prochlorperazine, lorazepam, ondansetron, protonix - 1349127 - VAX DATE: 19 March 2021 | DATEDIED: 04 April 2021 - Concurrent medical conditions included Traumatic brain injury, Movement disorder, Seizures (since she was a baby at 11 months old) and Speech loss. Concomitant products included CLONAZEPAM, OXCARBAZEPINE (TRILEPTAL) and GABAPENTIN for an unknown indication.… cause of death was not reported. An autopsy was not performed.… death certificate said… natural causes. - 1365075 - VAX DATE: 10 March 2021 | ONSET DATE: 12 March 2021 | DATEDIED: 19 March 2021 - father said his son began throwing up 2 days after injection. They took him to the ER and patient was given some medication to stop emesis… Patient was reported to throw up everyday until his death on day 9. HISTORY: Cerebral Palsy legally blind Epileptic Seizures deteriorating bones in hips Hydrocephalus Shunt in head
Death within 14 days, no major pre-existing illness
- 1121695 - VAX DATE: 10 March 2021 | 01 March 2021 (sic) …no significant past medical history...very severe diabetic ketoacidosis one week after receiving the vaccine...severe metabolic encephalopathy, aspiration pneumonia... - 1255787 - DEATH; BLOOD COAGULATION...the patient was very healthy...date not reported for...vaccination...On an unspecified date...patient developed blood coagulation...patient subsequently died 10 days after vaccination; the cause of death was not provided...
Death within 14 days, seriousness of pre-existing illness is not clear
- 1067765 - VAX DATE: 08 February 2021 | DATEDIED: 08 February 2021 - died in his sleep through the night; This is a spontaneous report from a contactable consumer received via a Pfizer sales representative… Medical history included muscular dystrophy. HISTORY: …Muscular dystrophy [This report is confusing: it says he received the vaccine Feb 8 and died the same day, even though he died in his sleep?] − 1078352 - VAX DATE: 02 March 2021 | DATEDIED: 05 March 2021 - Developed fatigue, body aches, headache 1 day after vaccination on 3⁄3. The morning of 3⁄5 complained of chest pain. Took Tylenol at 8:30 am. At 10:30 am his family found him unresponsive. - 1140258 - VAX DATE: 26 March 2021 | DATEDIED: 27 March 2021 - Patient contacted 911 complaining of not feeling well and difficulty breathing… patient was found by EMS in cardiac arrest. - 1187918 I am the PICU attending who cared for the patient after her cardiac arrest which we believe was about 3-4 days after her second Moderna Vaccine - 1198540 VAX DATE: 01 April 2021 | DATEDIED: 11 April 2021 - Patient...unresponsive and not breathing...outside on the grounds of the campus. A rented scoter was next to him… There was no sign of trauma. - 1204016 VAX DATE: 09 April 2021 | DATEDIED: 13 April 2021 - HE DIED SUDDENLY !!!!! JUST COLLAPSED !!!! [that’s the entire description] - 1206323 VAX DATE: 10 April 2021 - Pt received vaccine at 1130 on 4⁄10… Awoke at approx 0100 4⁄11, reported not feeling well, vomited, returned to bed. Found by housemate at appox 2100 4⁄11 unresponsive. - 1209903 VAX DATE: 06 March 2021 | DATEDIED: 13 March 2021 [no symptoms, story or history provided] - 1225942 VAX DATE: 19 March 2021 | ONSET DATE: 28 March 2021 - cardiac arrest at home… Patient placed on ECMO and imaging revealed bilateral large pulmonary embolism - 1242573 VAX DATE: 18 April 2021 | ONSET DATE: 19 April 2021 | DATEDIED: 20 April 2021 - Heart failure - 1243791 - VAX DATE: 10 April 2021 | DATEDIED: 12 April 2021 - found dead...at his home. HISTORY: History of clotting disorder at age 16 with Xarelto treatment and hospitalization - 1261766 VAX DATE: 08 April 2021 | DATEDIED: 10 April 2021 - increased body temperature, seizure, death - 1321517 VAX DATE: 30 April 2021 | DATEDIED: 01 May 2021 - He did not told me about any symptoms. He just died the next day of the vaccine. - 1346657 VAX DATE: 18 February 2021 | DATEDIED: 19 February 2021 - deceased in bed, no known symptoms, undetermined cause and manner of death - 1355039 VAX DATE: 22 May 2021 | ONSET DATE: 23 May 2021 | DATEDIED: 25 May 2021 - Cardiac Arrest - 1372338 - VAX DATE: 21 May 2021 | ONSET DATE: 21 May 2021 | DATEDIED: 22 May 2021 - HISTORY: Asthma Anxiety/Depression/Panic
This is relevant because I read that “FDA requires healthcare providers to report any death after COVID-19 vaccination to VAERS”
How does this square with OpenVaers’s claim that only about 1% of injuries are reported?
Without knowing the reporting rate, it’s difficult to interpret the data. If we take the 1% and 5869 numbers at face value, it implies that the vaccines killed about 560.000 people, whereas if we assume 100% reporting rate, it looks like they’re an amazing preventer of unrelated causes of death. Is there any reasonable way to estimate what % to use?
(Edit: a more direct answer to this question, according to this page, is that the “1%” claim comes from misreading a report conducted before 2010 called “Electronic Support for Public Health–Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (ESP:VAERS)”. This was not a report about vaccines, and (being a misread) it was never true. Regardless, it makes sense that the rules about reporting deaths would be more strict than the rules for reporting minor side effects.)
Well, Google led me to the HHS VAERS FAQ which says
Healthcare providers are required by law to report to VAERS:
An adverse event listed by the vaccine manufacturer as a contraindication to further doses of the vaccine
Healthcare providers are strongly encouraged to report:
Any adverse event that occurs after the administration of a vaccine licensed in the United States, whether or not it is clear that a vaccine caused the adverse event
Vaccine administration errors
Vaccine manufacturers are required to report to VAERS all adverse events that come to their attention.
Covid vaccines aren’t explicitly mentioned in the PDF so the final list of reporting requirements seems to apply (“Any new vaccine recommended by the [CDC] for routine administration to children”):
A.Shoulder Injury Related to Vaccine Administration (7 days) B. Vasovagal syncope (7 days) C. Any acute complication or sequelae (including death) of above events (interval—not applicable) D. Events described in manufacturer’s package insert as contraindications to additional doses of vaccine (interval—see package insert)
Interesting, this isn’t as clear as the CDC’s statement that “FDA requires healthcare providers to report any death...” Now, if the FDA/CDC/HHS sent memos/bulletins/checklists to hospitals/clinics, these might be the sorts of instructions that front-line staff pay the most attention to. But, don’t know how to see those.
An odd fact: search results on OpenVAERS disagree with this claim:
4561 deaths for “covid vaccines”, <210 for every year before 2021
It says there were 4561 deaths for “covid vaccines” as of May 28 and less than 210 every year before 2021. But as of June 17, OpenVAERS disagrees (note: OpenVAERS says its data is “through June 4, 2021″):
In OpenVAERS there is an upward trend since 2012 that peaks at 605 deaths in 2019. So while the covid death counter has increased 29% in this dataset (possibly due to the passage of time), it also shows 234% more deaths in 2019. Not sure what to make of this.
Thy disagree, but in which direction? The second chart seem to report numbers higher than the first chart but I’m not sure they are about the same data. What’s your read?
Can you put some links for the second graph source?
I constructed the second graph manually, by recording the number of results of 22 queries at OpenVAERS. OpenVAERS (which I learned about through Steve K) says it provides the same data as the government.
Edit: I’m inclined to think that a major reason that the number for 2021 is higher in my chart is because I produced my chart 3 weeks later. As of Jan 17 2022, the number of deaths reported by OpenVAERS for “covid19” in 2021 is 21,427, giving an average rate of 412 weekly death reports. I was surprised to learn that only 46% of these were for age 65+, but it turns out that only 16% of these are for under age 65, so apparently 38% of the deaths occurred in people with no age whatsoever. Also, while the number of death reports is greater in the second half of the year, there has been a dramatic increase in ageless death reports since June. Hmm… it seems like about 15,558 of the reports were filed since I last checked in June, of which about 6800 of the new reports are ageless (44%). That is pretty weird. And indeed, the first report I clicked on at random, said that a person of unknown age and gender in an unknown state, with unknown medical history, suffered from an unknown cause of death on an unknown date after taking a JANSSEN vaccine! I don’t think this is what Weinstein and Kirsch had in mind when they talked about underreporting!
So, I decided to head on over to OpenVAERS, do some searches and look at some reports. Here are the number of results for a few queries for deaths in 2021:
5997 results in 2021 (all vaccines)
5869 results in 2021 with Vax Name “covid19”
3607 results in 2021 for 65+ (all vaccines)
3543 results in 2021 for 65+ with Vax Name “covid19”
1673 results in 2021 for 65+ with Vax Name “moderna”
1691 results in 2021 for 65+ with Vax Name “pfizer”
165 results in 2021 for 65+ with Vax Name “janssen” (Johnson & Johnson)
1061 results in 2021 for <65 (all vaccines)
1023 results in 2021 for <65 with Vax Name “covid19”
406 results in 2021 for <65 with Vax Name “pfizer”
458 results in 2021 for <65 with Vax Name “moderna”
214 results in 2021 for <45 with Vax Name “covid19”
101 results in 2021 for <35 with Vax Name “covid19″
37 results in 2021 for <25 with Vax Name “covid19”
Edit: for comparison, the average annual death rate in the United States in 2018 and 2019 was 719 per 100,000 or 0.719%. Since the population is about 328 million, the expected number of deaths in a normal year is about 2,358,000, and in a typical week, 45,228. Now, 51.56% of the population has received at least one vaccine shot as of June 10 (one week ago). Therefore, if it were the case that someone filed a VAERS report for every death that was not caused by the vaccine but happened within one week of vaccine administration, we would expect to see much more than 5869 death reports, perhaps 23,300 (or higher, because some people have received multiple vaccine shots and because older people are more likely to have been vaccinated). This is relevant because I read that “FDA requires healthcare providers to report any death after COVID-19 vaccination to VAERS”, which explains why we see e.g. two deaths by gunshot wound in my roundup below.
Since there are only 37 deaths nationwide for age 24 and under, I decided to summarize all of them. Because I could. At least in this category we can rule out age-related illness. I will put the actual summaries of these reports in a separate message in the hope that LessWrong’s display algorithm will be more likely to “collapse” that information.
I have divided these deaths into mutually exclusive prioritized categories. This means that if a death was in both categories B and D, I only listed it under category B which is listed first.
Suicides: 4 (though in one case the person was also ill)
Other reports with indications that the death is probably not vaccine-related: 2
Death reports more than 14 days after vaccine: 4
No information about time between vaccine and death: 1
Death within 14 days, but serious pre-existing illness: 8
Death within 14 days, seemingly no serious pre-existing illness: 2
Death within 14 days, level of pre-existing illness unclear: 16
Most of the “within 14 day” reports were also within 7 days.
An interesting indicator would be how many people are getting each vaccine. If the numbers of deaths for each vaccine is exactly proportional to the number of people receiving each vaccine, it would suggest that the vaccines are all equally safe, and if so, the most probable safety level is “very safe”. (wrinkle: if e.g. J&J is a ‘rising star’, the death report curve is likely to lag behind the vaccination rate curve.) But where do I find that data?
Detailed summaries:
Suicides
- 958443 - self inflicted gun shot wound
- 1243487 - VAX DATE: 13 April 2021 | DATEDIED: 21 April 2021 - Patient Committed Suicide with a firearm.
- 1307657 Death by suicide [4 days after taking vaccination]
- 1349598 VAX DATE: 19 April 2021 | ONSET DATE: 19 April 2021 | DATEDIED: 23 April 2021 - he was COVID positive… patient did not have COVID prior to vaccination [sic].… patient...received the first dose of...PFIZER...on 29Mar2021… headache, sore arm, lethargic.… 19Apr2021, the patient received the second dose, and the patient was sick that day, headache/tired, diarrhea. On Tuesday (20Apr2021), the patient slept all day, headache, chills, diarrhea, no appetite, said he didn’t feel right.… Friday (23Apr2021) diarrhea—took his own life by hanging himself. The patient did not have history or signs of depression, anxiety, or mental illness.
Other reports with indications that the death is probably not vaccine-related
- 1166062 - DATEDIED: 20 March 2021 - patient received second dose of Pfizer vaccine on March 17, 2020 while at work… her 5 month old breastfed infant developed a rash and within 24 hours was inconsolable...developed a fever. Patient brought baby to local ER… passed away. Diagnosis of TTP. [It sounds like the baby did NOT receive a Covid vaccine]
- 1347547 VAX DATE: 15 April 2021 | ONSET DATE: 16 April 2021 | DATEDIED: 21 April 2021 - The injury that led to the death occurred within 1 day of the decedent receiving the vaccine
Deaths more than 14 days after vaccine
- 1076949 - VAX DATE: 29 January 2021 - Patient admitted on 2/21/21 and died in hospital on 2/22/2021. Patient had a significant, lifelong underlying medical condition.
− 1074788 - [This report appears to be for a fetus that died more than a month after the mother received the vaccine]
- 1372120 - VAX DATE: 01 May 2021 | ONSET DATE: 01 June 2021 | DATEDIED: 01 June 2021 - Pt called 911 for shortness of breath...Patient with sob, saying she can not breath , states it came on suddenly about a half hour ago and pt has not been feeling ill prior to this… became pulseless and apneic… no medical history other than anemia… J and J covid 19 vaccine recently. … copious amounts of vomit, suction enroute to ed.
- 1366320 - VAX DATE: 10 March 2021 | ONSET DATE: 11 March 2021 | DATEDIED: 06 May 2021 - he died [Jesus Christ, that’s all you have to say?]
No information about time between vaccine and death
- 1353097 - On an unknown date, the patient received second dose...Moderna...1 dosage form. On an unknown date, the patient experienced CARDIAC ARREST… It is unknown if an autopsy was performed… Follow up not possible as no contact details available
Death within 14 days, but major pre-existing illness
- 960841 - VAX DATE: 17 January 2021 | ONSET DATE: 19 January 2021 | DATEDIED: 21 January 2021 − 104.4 temp approximately 48 hours after being given the vaccine....treated with antibiotics, IV fluids, cooling methods...cardiac arrest on 1/21/21. HISTORY: ventilator dependent, anoxic encephalopathy, seizure disorder. OTHER_MEDS: Amantadine, clonazepam, clobazam, lovenox, dextroamphetamine-amphetamine, famotidine, gabapentin, keppra, robinul, polyethylene glycol, propanolol, sertaline, senna, valproic acid, vimpat, cefepime
- 1105115 - VAX DATE: 14 February 2021 | DATEDIED: 28 February 2021 - POC observed abscesses in the arm, groin, thigh and knees after the first vaccination. After the second dose, he was hypoactive. …POC removed the sheet, she observed that her mouth and nose were full of secretions. HISTORY: Portal hypertension (secondary to portal vein thrombosis), Leukopenia, Thrombocytopenia, Epilepsy, Splenomegaly, Esophageal Varices, Asthma, Pancytopenia and Severe mental retardation.
- 1105146 - VAX DATE: 30 January 2021 | ONSET DATE: 30 January 2021 | DATEDIED: 02 February 2021 − 1⁄19 began vomiting and was hospitalized. On 1⁄30 he was discharged and later received the vaccine.… [later] He started coughing up foul-smelling secretions.… HISTORY: Epilepsy, Hydrocephalus, and Multiple Sclerosis
- 1199455 VAX DATE: 02 April 2021 | DATEDIED: 10 April 2021 - Patient reported difficulty breathing and chest pain… cardiac arrest… HISTORY: spina bifida, spinal meningocele, VP shunt, scoliosis, neurogenic bladder, constipation
- 1273475 VAX DATE: 28 April 2021 | DATEDIED: 29 April 2021 - Resident was checked at 1830 and found to be at baseline status. At approximately 1855, resident was found pulses and apneic. CPR initiated… Resident expired 1939. CUR_ILL: Anoxic Brain Injury, History of MI, Uterine rupture, dysphagia, PEG TUBE, Tracheostomy. HISTORY: Anoxic Brain Injury
- 1343614 VAX DATE: 18 May 2021 | ONSET DATE: 20 May 2021 | DATEDIED: 24 May 2021 - presented to ED dept confused, incr n/v, weakness. Received palliative care… deceased. CUR_ILL: fibrolamellar hepatic carcinoma with metastatic disease OTHER_MEDS: xarelto, methadone, morphine, prochlorperazine, lorazepam, ondansetron, protonix
- 1349127 - VAX DATE: 19 March 2021 | DATEDIED: 04 April 2021 - Concurrent medical conditions included Traumatic brain injury, Movement disorder, Seizures (since she was a baby at 11 months old) and Speech loss. Concomitant products included CLONAZEPAM, OXCARBAZEPINE (TRILEPTAL) and GABAPENTIN for an unknown indication.… cause of death was not reported. An autopsy was not performed.… death certificate said… natural causes.
- 1365075 - VAX DATE: 10 March 2021 | ONSET DATE: 12 March 2021 | DATEDIED: 19 March 2021 - father said his son began throwing up 2 days after injection. They took him to the ER and patient was given some medication to stop emesis… Patient was reported to throw up everyday until his death on day 9. HISTORY: Cerebral Palsy legally blind Epileptic Seizures deteriorating bones in hips Hydrocephalus Shunt in head
Death within 14 days, no major pre-existing illness
- 1121695 - VAX DATE: 10 March 2021 | 01 March 2021 (sic) …no significant past medical history...very severe diabetic ketoacidosis one week after receiving the vaccine...severe metabolic encephalopathy, aspiration pneumonia...
- 1255787 - DEATH; BLOOD COAGULATION...the patient was very healthy...date not reported for...vaccination...On an unspecified date...patient developed blood coagulation...patient subsequently died 10 days after vaccination; the cause of death was not provided...
Death within 14 days, seriousness of pre-existing illness is not clear
- 1067765 - VAX DATE: 08 February 2021 | DATEDIED: 08 February 2021 - died in his sleep through the night; This is a spontaneous report from a contactable consumer received via a Pfizer sales representative… Medical history included muscular dystrophy. HISTORY: …Muscular dystrophy [This report is confusing: it says he received the vaccine Feb 8 and died the same day, even though he died in his sleep?]
− 1078352 - VAX DATE: 02 March 2021 | DATEDIED: 05 March 2021 - Developed fatigue, body aches, headache 1 day after vaccination on 3⁄3. The morning of 3⁄5 complained of chest pain. Took Tylenol at 8:30 am. At 10:30 am his family found him unresponsive.
- 1140258 - VAX DATE: 26 March 2021 | DATEDIED: 27 March 2021 - Patient contacted 911 complaining of not feeling well and difficulty breathing… patient was found by EMS in cardiac arrest.
- 1187918 I am the PICU attending who cared for the patient after her cardiac arrest which we believe was about 3-4 days after her second Moderna Vaccine
- 1198540 VAX DATE: 01 April 2021 | DATEDIED: 11 April 2021 - Patient...unresponsive and not breathing...outside on the grounds of the campus. A rented scoter was next to him… There was no sign of trauma.
- 1204016 VAX DATE: 09 April 2021 | DATEDIED: 13 April 2021 - HE DIED SUDDENLY !!!!! JUST COLLAPSED !!!! [that’s the entire description]
- 1206323 VAX DATE: 10 April 2021 - Pt received vaccine at 1130 on 4⁄10… Awoke at approx 0100 4⁄11, reported not feeling well, vomited, returned to bed. Found by housemate at appox 2100 4⁄11 unresponsive.
- 1209903 VAX DATE: 06 March 2021 | DATEDIED: 13 March 2021 [no symptoms, story or history provided]
- 1225942 VAX DATE: 19 March 2021 | ONSET DATE: 28 March 2021 - cardiac arrest at home… Patient placed on ECMO and imaging revealed bilateral large pulmonary embolism
- 1242573 VAX DATE: 18 April 2021 | ONSET DATE: 19 April 2021 | DATEDIED: 20 April 2021 - Heart failure
- 1243791 - VAX DATE: 10 April 2021 | DATEDIED: 12 April 2021 - found dead...at his home. HISTORY: History of clotting disorder at age 16 with Xarelto treatment and hospitalization
- 1261766 VAX DATE: 08 April 2021 | DATEDIED: 10 April 2021 - increased body temperature, seizure, death
- 1321517 VAX DATE: 30 April 2021 | DATEDIED: 01 May 2021 - He did not told me about any symptoms. He just died the next day of the vaccine.
- 1346657 VAX DATE: 18 February 2021 | DATEDIED: 19 February 2021 - deceased in bed, no known symptoms, undetermined cause and manner of death
- 1355039 VAX DATE: 22 May 2021 | ONSET DATE: 23 May 2021 | DATEDIED: 25 May 2021 - Cardiac Arrest
- 1372338 - VAX DATE: 21 May 2021 | ONSET DATE: 21 May 2021 | DATEDIED: 22 May 2021 - HISTORY: Asthma Anxiety/Depression/Panic
How does this square with OpenVaers’s claim that only about 1% of injuries are reported?
Without knowing the reporting rate, it’s difficult to interpret the data. If we take the 1% and 5869 numbers at face value, it implies that the vaccines killed about 560.000 people, whereas if we assume 100% reporting rate, it looks like they’re an amazing preventer of unrelated causes of death. Is there any reasonable way to estimate what % to use?
(Edit: a more direct answer to this question, according to this page, is that the “1%” claim comes from misreading a report conducted before 2010 called “Electronic Support for Public Health–Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (ESP:VAERS)”. This was not a report about vaccines, and (being a misread) it was never true. Regardless, it makes sense that the rules about reporting deaths would be more strict than the rules for reporting minor side effects.)
Well, Google led me to the HHS VAERS FAQ which says
Covid vaccines aren’t explicitly mentioned in the PDF so the final list of reporting requirements seems to apply (“Any new vaccine recommended by the [CDC] for routine administration to children”):
Interesting, this isn’t as clear as the CDC’s statement that “FDA requires healthcare providers to report any death...” Now, if the FDA/CDC/HHS sent memos/bulletins/checklists to hospitals/clinics, these might be the sorts of instructions that front-line staff pay the most attention to. But, don’t know how to see those.
An odd fact: search results on OpenVAERS disagree with this claim:
It says there were 4561 deaths for “covid vaccines” as of May 28 and less than 210 every year before 2021. But as of June 17, OpenVAERS disagrees (note: OpenVAERS says its data is “through June 4, 2021″):
In OpenVAERS there is an upward trend since 2012 that peaks at 605 deaths in 2019. So while the covid death counter has increased 29% in this dataset (possibly due to the passage of time), it also shows 234% more deaths in 2019. Not sure what to make of this.
Thy disagree, but in which direction? The second chart seem to report numbers higher than the first chart but I’m not sure they are about the same data. What’s your read? Can you put some links for the second graph source?
I constructed the second graph manually, by recording the number of results of 22 queries at OpenVAERS. OpenVAERS (which I learned about through Steve K) says it provides the same data as the government.
Edit: I’m inclined to think that a major reason that the number for 2021 is higher in my chart is because I produced my chart 3 weeks later. As of Jan 17 2022, the number of deaths reported by OpenVAERS for “covid19” in 2021 is 21,427, giving an average rate of 412 weekly death reports. I was surprised to learn that only 46% of these were for age 65+, but it turns out that only 16% of these are for under age 65, so apparently 38% of the deaths occurred in people with no age whatsoever. Also, while the number of death reports is greater in the second half of the year, there has been a dramatic increase in ageless death reports since June. Hmm… it seems like about 15,558 of the reports were filed since I last checked in June, of which about 6800 of the new reports are ageless (44%). That is pretty weird. And indeed, the first report I clicked on at random, said that a person of unknown age and gender in an unknown state, with unknown medical history, suffered from an unknown cause of death on an unknown date after taking a JANSSEN vaccine! I don’t think this is what Weinstein and Kirsch had in mind when they talked about underreporting!