I think everyone in the discussion expects AI progress to be at least exponentially fast. See all of Paul’s mention of hyperbolic growth — that’s faster than an exponential.
The discussion is more about continuous vs discontinuous takeoff, or centralised vs decentralised takeoff. (The slow/fast terminology isn’t great.)
I think everyone in the discussion expects AI progress to be at least exponentially fast. See all of Paul’s mention of hyperbolic growth — that’s faster than an exponential.
The discussion is more about continuous vs discontinuous takeoff, or centralised vs decentralised takeoff. (The slow/fast terminology isn’t great.)