Yes, Rob is right about the inference coming from the bet and Eliezer is right that the bet was actually 1:1 odds but due to the somewhat unusual bet format I misread it as 2:1 odds.
Yes, Rob is right about the inference coming from the bet and Eliezer is right that the bet was actually 1:1 odds but due to the somewhat unusual bet format I misread it as 2:1 odds.