The post anchors on the Christiano vs Eliezer models of takeoff, but am I right that the goal more generally is to disentangle the shape of progress from the timeline for progress? I strongly support disentangling dimensions of the problem. I have spoken against using p(doom) for similar reasons.
The post anchors on the Christiano vs Eliezer models of takeoff, but am I right that the goal more generally is to disentangle the shape of progress from the timeline for progress? I strongly support disentangling dimensions of the problem. I have spoken against using p(doom) for similar reasons.