Thanks for following up! I admit that things seem to be moving a bit faster than I expected, in general and in particular with Diplomacy. For more of my thoughts on the matter, see this comment, which I did not write but do mostly agree with.
It’s especially dangerous because this AI is easily made relevant in the real world as compared to AlphaZero for example. Geopolitical pressure to advance these Diplomacy AIs is far from desirable.
The difficulties in getting from Cicero to real diplomacy are similar to the difficulties in getting from OpenAI Five to self-driving cars, or from AlphaStar to commanding real troops on a battlefield in Ukraine.
Thanks for following up! I admit that things seem to be moving a bit faster than I expected, in general and in particular with Diplomacy. For more of my thoughts on the matter, see this comment, which I did not write but do mostly agree with.
It’s especially dangerous because this AI is easily made relevant in the real world as compared to AlphaZero for example. Geopolitical pressure to advance these Diplomacy AIs is far from desirable.
Fortunately I don’t think this sort of AI would be useful for real-world diplomacy and I think governments will think so as well.
Why do you think a similar model is not useful for real-world diplomacy?
The difficulties in getting from Cicero to real diplomacy are similar to the difficulties in getting from OpenAI Five to self-driving cars, or from AlphaStar to commanding real troops on a battlefield in Ukraine.