I have a feeling that the stream-of-consciousness thing that’s been popping up since MrHen did it is going to exploit, to the point of indecency, how honest his was. He almost gave it too good of a reputation.
An interesting side-feature of LessWrong would be a collection of predictions like this. They don’t need to be anything more than entering a prediction and a date. Somewhere, we could see the upcoming predictions that are about to expire.
I think just browsing soon-to-end and just-ended predictions would provide extremely valuable feedback.
Yeah, the wiki would work. I would expect the prediction to be made in a LessWrong comment or post and the wiki should link to it. I don’t know if the Wiki software can handle calendars or how hard it would be to maintain...
I have a feeling that the stream-of-consciousness thing that’s been popping up since MrHen did it is going to exploit, to the point of indecency, how honest his was. He almost gave it too good of a reputation.
Did anyone else do this other than MrHen and pjeby? I read the recent comments page pretty thoroughly, and if there were others, I missed them.
Nope, but in two months, this comment will seem prescient.
Time to update.
An interesting side-feature of LessWrong would be a collection of predictions like this. They don’t need to be anything more than entering a prediction and a date. Somewhere, we could see the upcoming predictions that are about to expire.
I think just browsing soon-to-end and just-ended predictions would provide extremely valuable feedback.
This would be a cool wiki page, “Community predictions.”
See this.
Cyan is the Batman; recent comments are his Gotham. The Bat-Signal is ignorance.
Aw, I’m blushing.
Yeah, the wiki would work. I would expect the prediction to be made in a LessWrong comment or post and the wiki should link to it. I don’t know if the Wiki software can handle calendars or how hard it would be to maintain...
PredictionBook.
Even better! So… does anyone from LessWrong use it?
In the very least, I can now track guesses about karma results from my posts. Thanks.
EDIT: I created an account and am starting predictions. The first one is relevant to much of my recent discussion here.