An interesting side-feature of LessWrong would be a collection of predictions like this. They don’t need to be anything more than entering a prediction and a date. Somewhere, we could see the upcoming predictions that are about to expire.
I think just browsing soon-to-end and just-ended predictions would provide extremely valuable feedback.
Yeah, the wiki would work. I would expect the prediction to be made in a LessWrong comment or post and the wiki should link to it. I don’t know if the Wiki software can handle calendars or how hard it would be to maintain...
Nope, but in two months, this comment will seem prescient.
Time to update.
An interesting side-feature of LessWrong would be a collection of predictions like this. They don’t need to be anything more than entering a prediction and a date. Somewhere, we could see the upcoming predictions that are about to expire.
I think just browsing soon-to-end and just-ended predictions would provide extremely valuable feedback.
This would be a cool wiki page, “Community predictions.”
See this.
Cyan is the Batman; recent comments are his Gotham. The Bat-Signal is ignorance.
Aw, I’m blushing.
Yeah, the wiki would work. I would expect the prediction to be made in a LessWrong comment or post and the wiki should link to it. I don’t know if the Wiki software can handle calendars or how hard it would be to maintain...
PredictionBook.
Even better! So… does anyone from LessWrong use it?
In the very least, I can now track guesses about karma results from my posts. Thanks.
EDIT: I created an account and am starting predictions. The first one is relevant to much of my recent discussion here.